Hurricane Milton, currently a major hurricane, has undergone an eyewall replacement cycle, a common occurrence in strong hurricanes. While this cycle may cause fluctuations in the storm’s peak winds, it often leads to an expansion of the wind field, increasing the overall area affected.
Despite these structural changes, Milton is expected to remain an extremely dangerous hurricane as it approaches Florida’s west coast. The storm is predicted to make landfall Wednesday night, bringing with it destructive winds, life-threatening storm surge, and heavy rainfall.
Forecast Track and Intensity
Milton is currently moving east-northeastward and is expected to turn northeast with a slight increase in forward speed today and Wednesday. This motion will bring the core of the hurricane to west-central Florida Wednesday night.
While some weakening is expected due to increasing vertical wind shear, Milton is still forecast to be a major hurricane at landfall. After crossing Florida, the hurricane is expected to weaken more significantly and transition into an extratropical cyclone over the Atlantic.
Life-Threatening Impacts Expected
The wind field of Hurricane Milton is expected to expand significantly as it approaches Florida, meaning that damaging winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall will extend well beyond the forecast cone.
The National Hurricane Center is emphasizing the seriousness of this situation, warning that Milton has the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central Florida. Residents are urged to closely monitor the storm and follow any evacuation orders issued by local officials.
Key Messages:
- Yucatan Peninsula: Hurricane-force winds and life-threatening storm surge are expected along the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula today.
- Florida: Milton will remain an extremely dangerous hurricane, bringing a large area of destructive storm surge to the west coast of Florida. Evacuate immediately if told to do so by local officials.
- Inland Florida: Life-threatening hurricane-force winds are expected to spread inland across the Florida Peninsula. Complete preparations to protect life and property.
- Heavy Rainfall: Areas of heavy rainfall will impact Florida, increasing the risk of life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding.
This is a rapidly evolving situation. Residents in potentially affected areas should stay informed and follow the guidance of local authorities.
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